Writing
I write Dave's Quick Hits, a newsletter on frontier technology with 1,000+ subscribers. Mostly about what AI does when it meets reality, and what it does when it meets a person.
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Two Crashes
Every AI output has to survive two collisions: first with reality, then with a human brain. We measure the first one obsessively and the second one not at all. That is the largest unlocked capability gain left in AI.
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The Most Expensive Kind of Correct
I scored all 2,218 testable claims across four years of Gary Marcus's posts. He understood the technology better than he understood the market, and his vaguest claims became his identity.
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"Taste" is Not Ineffable
What we call taste is judgment that hasn't been written down yet. Three conditions kept it tacit for centuries. Two of them broke in the last eighteen months.
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What to Expect From Astra
Fifteen domains, one pattern. A model an order of magnitude more capable could make civilization vastly more productive while making individual humans vastly less able to understand, verify, or direct what civilization is doing.
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NFL Draft Bench 1.0: Claude vs ChatGPT
The real benchmark is a first-round mock the day before the draft, with the scoreboard twenty-four hours away. Every prediction is falsifiable in public. That is the point.
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The Body Singularity
Every institution was built on an assumption about the human body that nobody thought to make explicit. What happens when the body becomes a parameter.
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You Need to Be More of a Silly Goose
The line goes up and up. Follow it twelve months forward, notice what your brain does next, and ask why everyone keeps saying it will stop.
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