Writing
Dave's Quick Hits, a newsletter on frontier technology with over 1,000 subscribers. Mostly about what AI does when it meets reality, and what it does when it meets a person. Start with the first one.
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Two CrashesFebruary 2026
Every AI output has to survive two collisions: first with reality, then with a human brain. We measure the first one obsessively and the second one not at all. That is the largest unlocked capability gain left in AI.
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The Ramsay Filter v2February 2026
AI slop is a single failure mode: uniformity disguised as craft. The tell is how evenly a technique is spread across a piece. The one I use most, with the open-source tool that enforces it.
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The Most Expensive Kind of CorrectMarch 2026
I scored all 2,218 testable claims across four years of Gary Marcus's posts. He understood the technology better than he understood the market, and his vaguest claims became his identity.
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"Taste" is Not IneffableApril 2026
What we call taste is judgment that hasn't been written down yet. Three conditions kept it tacit for centuries. Two of them broke in the last eighteen months.
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What to Expect From AstraAugust 2026
Fifteen domains, one pattern. A model an order of magnitude more capable could make civilization vastly more productive while making individual humans vastly less able to understand, verify, or direct what civilization is doing.
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NFL Draft Bench 1.0: Claude vs ChatGPTApril 2026
The real benchmark is a first-round mock the day before the draft, with the scoreboard twenty-four hours away. Every prediction is falsifiable in public. That is the point.
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The Body SingularityMarch 2026
Every institution was built on an assumption about the human body that nobody thought to make explicit. What happens when the body becomes a parameter.
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You Need to Be More of a Silly GooseFebruary 2026
The line goes up and up. Follow it twelve months forward, notice what your brain does next, and ask why everyone keeps saying it will stop.